Tactical Thematic ETF Positioning Report: Key Takeaways from our Short-term Fund-Flow Database
Geopolitical events have equities in correction, but underneath the surface there is a clear ongoing shift towards physical assets and infrastructure.
Geopolitical events have equities in correction, but underneath the surface there is a clear ongoing shift towards physical assets and infrastructure.
Markets are trying to stabilize, but the leadership is narrow: energy security and selective AI infrastructure remain resilient while cyclicals, small caps, and commodity-beta themes still reflect a higher-for-longer oil and rates regime.
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March 6, 2026 U.S. equities finished lower Thursday as the energy shock intensified and financial conditions tightened, though major indices recovered off intraday lows into the close. Index Return Dow -1.61% S&P 500 -0.56% Nasdaq -0.26% Russell 2000 -1.91% The dominant macro driver was oil, which surged sharply as the Iran conflict escalated and shipping
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March 5, 2026 S&P futures are little changed in Thursday morning trading following Wednesday’s rebound in U.S. equities, where a number of crowded momentum trades reversed sharply higher. Memory, semiconductors, software, private equity, managed care, and biotech were among the biggest gainers after selling pressure earlier in the week tied to geopolitical risk and positioning
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March 3, 2026 Investment Summary U.S. equities attempted to stabilize Monday despite escalating geopolitical tension, but Tuesday morning futures (-1.8%) signal renewed risk aversion. The S&P 500 finished Monday up 0.04%, Nasdaq +0.36%, and Russell +0.90%, shaking off weekend U.S.–Israel–Iran escalation. However, oil (+6.3% Monday; +6% premarket Tuesday) and a sharp bond selloff (2Y +9
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Tuesday, February 17, 2026 Source: Factset Research Systems Inc./StreetAccounts Macro Snapshot U.S. futures were modestly lower in early Tuesday trading (S&P futures ~-0.2%) after a week where mega-cap tech remained the pressure point (Nasdaq -2% for the week; fifth straight weekly decline), while defensives and rate-sensitive pockets continued to absorb flows. Global rates were
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Thursday, February 12, 2026 Source: FactSet Macro and Policy Backdrop Overnight risk tone is constructive with S&P futures modestly higher after Wednesday’s mixed cash session and continued dispersion under the surface. Treasury yields are slightly firmer after the post‑payrolls backup, the dollar is little changed, and commodities remain the swing factor: gold and silver are
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Wednesday, February 11, 2026 | Source: FactSet, StreetAccounts High-Level Macro & Equity Tape U.S. equities were mixed on Tuesday (Dow +0.10%, S&P 500 -0.33%, Nasdaq -0.59%), but breadth stayed positive and both the Dow and equal‑weight S&P (RSP) printed record closes—another sign the ‘broadening’ trade is still doing work beneath headline index softness. Rates moved
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February 10, 2026 Macro & Equity Tape U.S. equities began Tuesday with index futures modestly higher after Monday’s rebound, led by renewed tech/AI leadership and a broad bid for cyclicals. Focus shifts to a heavy data slate, starting with December retail sales alongside import/export prices and NFIB optimism, plus Fed commentary (Hammack, Logan). Rates are
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Monday February 9, 2026 Macro Setup S&P 500 futures are down ~0.2% this morning after Friday’s sharp risk-on reversal (Dow, equal-weight S&P at fresh highs), which again highlighted broadening leadership versus concentrated mega-cap exposure. Overseas, Asia is higher with Japan up ~4% after the LDP lower-house landslide; Europe is modestly firmer. Rates are a touch
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