The first half of 2026 showed thematic investors moving beyond broad AI stories into bottleneck-specific ETFs tied to memory, semiconductors, photonics, power, grid infrastructure and space, while stale internet, China, disruption and precious-metal exposures struggled, confirming flows followed fundamentals visibility.
Software, fintech and internet themes are leading as investors rotate away from AI hardware, while semiconductors, bitcoin miners and AI infrastructure remain the weakest pockets of the tape.
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The Kaleidoscope Thematic Equity Model underperformed in June as thematic breadth narrowed, but first-half results remained ahead of SPY, led by semiconductors, AI, cybersecurity, grid infrastructure, and electrification despite weakness in crypto, China internet, fintech, and commodities themes during period.
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Semiconductors regained leadership as AI infrastructure momentum rotated back toward hardware, while biotechnology, blockchain and software lagged after recent strength.
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Kaleidoscope Thematic Equity Model outperformed SPY in May as AI, cybersecurity, cloud, semiconductors and blockchain themes led. AIQ, CIBR, BKCH, SKYY and SMH drove attribution, while KWEB, GBTC, URA, NANR and ITB were the primary detractors during the month.
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Blockchain, semiconductors, hydrogen and cloud software are leading as lower oil, lower yields and easing Middle East headlines revive momentum, while ARK-style innovation, fintech, gaming, gold miners and parts of nuclear lag.
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The Kaleidoscope Thematic Equity Model’s May attribution update shows a strong rebound led by Technology Themes, as AI, semiconductors, blockchain, cloud, and fintech exposures offset weaker commodity attribution while preserving meaningful year-to-date outperformance versus the SPY benchmark
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