A Strategic Resource for Thematic Investors

Daily Thematic Trading Update

Tuesday, February 17, 2026

Source: Factset Research Systems Inc./StreetAccounts

 

Macro Snapshot

U.S. futures were modestly lower in early Tuesday trading (S&P futures ~-0.2%) after a week where mega-cap tech remained the pressure point (Nasdaq -2% for the week; fifth straight weekly decline), while defensives and rate-sensitive pockets continued to absorb flows. Global rates were firmer into the open with Treasuries modestly bid (yields down ~2–3 bp), the dollar slightly higher, and commodities mixed (WTI firmer; precious metals softer in early trade). In the background, the market is still digesting a regime where AI is increasingly treated as a *two-sided* macro factor: capex-heavy incumbents are scrutinized on cash burn/FCF, while AI competition/disruption risk is repricing a widening set of business models.

 

What Changed Today?

The big shift is not a single headline; it’s the *plumbing* of the tape. Dispersion stayed elevated, and the broadening-out trade remains the market’s primary shock absorber against index-level drag from Big Tech. AI-disruption anxiety is no longer confined to software—recent pressure has broadened into pockets like trucking/logistics, commercial real estate services, wealth/data services, and select financial intermediaries. Meanwhile, the supportive counterweight is the macro/rates backdrop: modestly lower yields and a still-constructive growth narrative keep cyclicals and select value exposures ‘alive,’ even as single-stock volatility rises.

 

Investment Outlook 

The playbook remains to respect the rotation rather than fight it. Until AI anxiety stops spreading across adjacent industries, we prefer exposure to themes that are *beneficiaries of capex and infrastructure buildout* (select semis, networking, data-center power/cooling) while avoiding crowded ‘asset-light duration’ software where valuation is still anchored to pre-disruption assumptions. The second anchor is rates: with the market sensitive to labor/ inflation prints, duration can still act as ballast on risk-off days, but we are treating it as a *tactical* hedge rather than a strategic bet. Finally, commodities/crypto remain higher-beta expressions of liquidity and narrative—recent flows and performance suggest they can rebound sharply, but the drawdowns are still large enough to keep sizing disciplined.

 

Thematic Tail of the Tape

Leaders were concentrated in crypto-linked exposures and precious metals miners, consistent with the market’s ongoing preference for ‘liquidity + hard asset’ expressions during periods of high dispersion. The laggards skewed toward travel/leisure and niche risk-on themes. On the flows front, broad beta and core fixed income captured the largest 1-month and YTD inflows—a reminder that, even inside a thematic framework, investors are still using large index and bond allocations as the base from which they take thematic risk.

 

Top 10 / Bottom 10 — Daily Performance

Top 10 Daily Performers

ETF Theme / Category 1 D RET 1 MO RET Fund Flows: 1M Fund Flows: YTD
CRPT First Trust SkyBridge Crypto Industry & Digital Economy ETF +7.63% -26.54% +$1,290,600 +$1,290,600
GDX VanEck Gold Miners ETF +5.76% +7.74% +$1,708,335,330 +$1,710,541,610
SILJ Amplify Junior Silver Miners ETF +5.53% +5.20% +$439,370,500 +$582,840,500
DAPP VanEck Digital Transformation ETF +5.04% -20.12% -$6,785,902 -$16,900,762
BITQ Bitwise Crypto Industry Innovators ETF +4.79% -17.43% +$10,747,975 +$11,851,875
BKCH Global X Blockchain ETF +4.53% -18.79% -$57,015,565 -$42,938,295
STCE Schwab Crypto Thematic ETF +3.54% -19.36% +$5,073,500 +$5,073,500
MSOX AdvisorShares MSOS Daily Leveraged ETF +3.52% -35.10% +$6,679,455 +$9,025,570
IBLC iShares Blockchain and Tech ETF +3.50% -18.34% +$0 +$0
FDIG Fidelity Crypto Industry and Digital Payments ETF +3.27% -18.24% -$10,573,936 -$8,429,327

 

Bottom 10 Daily Performers

ETF Theme / Category 1 D RET 1 MO RET Fund Flows: 1M Fund Flows: YTD
FLYU MicroSectors Travel 3x Leveraged ETN -2.44% -26.88% +$0 +$0
BETZ Roundhill Sports Betting & iGaming ETF -2.32% -13.93% -$1,425,428 -$2,985,352
KRBN KraneShares Global Carbon Strategy ETF -1.95% -16.97% -$10,147,436 -$13,706,452
AWAY Amplify Travel Tech ETF -1.88% -17.90% -$920,110 -$3,020,710
ESPO VanEck Video Gaming and eSports ETF -1.36% -11.63% -$25,090,880 -$51,210,280
BEDZ AdvisorShares Hotel ETF -1.31% -5.58% +$0 -$1,553,040
BJK VanEck Gaming ETF -1.28% -8.70% +$0 +$0
SBIO ALPS Medical Breakthroughs ETF -1.13% -2.24% +$7,924,500 +$7,969,500
EMQQ EMQQ The Emerging Markets Internet ETF -0.93% -9.36% +$2,565 -$3,120
HERO Global X Video Games & Esports ETF -0.80% -10.69% -$7,785,192 -$11,751,084

 

Top 10 / Bottom 10 — 1-Month Performance

Top 10 1-Month Performers

ETF Theme / Category 1 MO RET 1 D RET Fund Flows: 1M Fund Flows: YTD
MLPX Global X MLP & Energy Infrastructure ETF +15.80% +2.54%   +$44,382,919
TPYP Tortoise North American Pipeline Fund +15.04% +2.02% +$9,628,792 +$9,628,792
ENFR Alerian Energy Infrastructure ETF +15.02% +2.62% +$4,826,000 +$65,000
UMI USCF Midstream Energy Income Fund ETF +14.43% +2.34% +$11,175,040 +$11,175,040
TOLZ ProShares DJ Brookfield Global Infrastructure ETF +13.05% +1.97% -$5,188,746 -$19,807,395
PSI Invesco Semiconductors ETF +12.18% +0.81% +$32,753,120 +$35,462,140
GRID First Trust Nasdaq Clean Edge Smart GRID Infrastructure Index +12.03% +0.23% +$1,368,720,800 +$1,586,739,100
ATMP Barclays ETN+ Select MLP ETN +11.99% +2.45% +$5,738,882 +$5,738,882
EMIF iShares Emerging Markets Infrastructure ETF +11.84% -0.51% +$5,906,542 +$5,906,542
EMLP First Trust North American Energy Infrastructure Fund +11.64% +2.19% +$19,223,600 +$15,418,000

 

Bottom 10 1-Month Performers

ETF Theme / Category 1 MO RET 1 D RET Fund Flows: 1M Fund Flows: YTD
MSOX AdvisorShares MSOS Daily Leveraged ETF -35.10% +3.52% +$6,679,455 +$9,025,570
FLYU MicroSectors Travel 3x Leveraged ETN -26.88% -2.44% +$0 +$0
CRPT First Trust SkyBridge Crypto Industry & Digital Economy ETF -26.54% +7.63% +$1,290,600 +$1,290,600
DAPP VanEck Digital Transformation ETF -20.12% +5.04% -$6,785,902 -$16,900,762
IGV iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF -19.91% +2.24% +$1,890,332,366 +$1,573,610,655
STCE Schwab Crypto Thematic ETF -19.36% +3.54% +$5,073,500 +$5,073,500
WEED Roundhill Cannabis ETF -19.21% +1.93% +$0 +$0
XSW State Street SPDR S&P Software & Services ETF -19.21% +1.92% -$18,647,326 -$28,116,963
ARKW ARK Next Generation Internet ETF -19.14% +2.02% -$163,096,450 -$193,160,300
CNBS Amplify Seymour Cannabis ETF -18.88% +1.91% -$2,760,180 -$2,760,180

 

Top 10 / Bottom 10 — 1-Month Fund Flows

Top 10 1-Month Inflows

ETF Theme / Category Fund Flows: 1M 1 MO RET 1 D RET Fund Flows: YTD
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF +$5,927,541,377 -1.66% +0.19% +$8,083,599,126
VCIT Vanguard Intermediate-Term Corporate Bond ETF +$3,938,227,693 +0.98% +0.32% +$4,576,020,636
VUG Vanguard Growth ETF +$3,646,880,531 -6.77% -0.47% +$3,272,940,516
EEM iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF +$3,344,438,775 +6.28% +0.43% +$4,273,008,573
SGOV iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF +$3,041,502,315 +0.33% +0.04% +$4,864,055,034
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF +$2,737,808,000 +1.14% +0.29% +$4,183,847,000
SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF +$2,291,975,245 +4.14% +0.40% +$3,401,083,550
AGG iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF +$2,281,580,130 +1.11% +0.32% +$3,290,694,670
AGG iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF +$2,281,580,130 +1.12% +0.32% +$3,290,694,670
IGV iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF +$1,890,332,366 -19.91% +2.24% +$1,573,610,655

 

Bottom 10 1-Month Outflows

ETF Theme / Category Fund Flows: 1M 1 MO RET 1 D RET Fund Flows: YTD
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF -$2,382,705,195 +2.56% +0.55% -$3,478,761,156
QQQ Invesco QQQ Trust Series I -$2,238,622,600 -3.88% +0.21% -$5,845,111,950
VTEB Vanguard Tax-Exempt Bond ETF -$1,018,503,912 +0.79% +0.14% -$604,881,419
IWM iShares Russell 2000 ETF -$880,435,490 +0.62% +1.32% -$2,342,460,707
KLMN Invesco MSCI North America Climate ETF -$672,313,200 -1.95% -0.20% -$672,313,200
SLV iShares Silver Trust -$636,347,500 -11.30% +2.94% -$907,362,500
EEMV iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Min Vol Factor ETF -$616,389,800 +3.40% +0.19% -$616,389,800
IYR iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF -$578,283,760 +5.02% +1.37% -$775,855,019
XLRE State Street Real Estate Select Sector SPDR ETF -$459,780,642 +6.28% +1.47% -$421,215,899
COWZ Pacer US Cash Cows 100 ETF -$380,413,415 +3.70% +1.01% -$475,892,775

 

Top 10 / Bottom 10 — YTD Fund Flows

Top 10 YTD Inflows

ETF Theme / Category Fund Flows: YTD 1 MO RET 1 D RET Fund Flows: 1M
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF +$8,083,599,126 -1.66% +0.19% +$5,927,541,377
SGOV iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF +$4,864,055,034 +0.33% +0.04% +$3,041,502,315
VCIT Vanguard Intermediate-Term Corporate Bond ETF +$4,576,020,636 +0.98% +0.32% +$3,938,227,693
EEM iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF +$4,273,008,573 +6.28% +0.43% +$3,344,438,775
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF +$4,183,847,000 +1.14% +0.29% +$2,737,808,000
SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF +$3,401,083,550 +4.14% +0.40% +$2,291,975,245
AGG iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF +$3,290,694,670 +1.12% +0.32% +$2,281,580,130
AGG iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF +$3,290,694,670 +1.11% +0.32% +$2,281,580,130
VUG Vanguard Growth ETF +$3,272,940,516 -6.77% -0.47% +$3,646,880,531
CGDV Capital Group Dividend Value ETF +$2,150,353,302 +2.00% +0.09% +$1,555,888,020

 

Bottom 10 YTD Outflows

ETF Theme / Category Fund Flows: YTD 1 MO RET 1 D RET Fund Flows: 1M
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF -$9,594,503,783 -1.73% +0.07% +$563,419,093
QQQ Invesco QQQ Trust Series I -$5,845,111,950 -3.88% +0.21% -$2,238,622,600
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF -$3,478,761,156 +2.56% +0.55% -$2,382,705,195
IWM iShares Russell 2000 ETF -$2,342,460,707 +0.62% +1.32% -$880,435,490
SLV iShares Silver Trust -$907,362,500 -11.30% +2.94% -$636,347,500
IYR iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF -$775,855,019 +5.02% +1.37% -$578,283,760
KLMN Invesco MSCI North America Climate ETF -$672,313,200 -1.95% -0.20% -$672,313,200
VIG Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF -$661,819,772 +1.09% +0.33% -$149,827,419
EEMV iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Min Vol Factor ETF -$616,389,800 +3.40% +0.19% -$616,389,800
VTEB Vanguard Tax-Exempt Bond ETF -$604,881,419 +0.79% +0.14% -$1,018,503,912

Patrick Torbert

Patrick Torbert is a veteran financial market analyst who is currently the Editor and Chief at ETF Insight a NY based full-service content, TV, video podcast and digital marketing firm that represents several ETF issuers. Patrick brings 20+ years of experience from Fidelity Asset Management where he most recently served as an equity and multi-asset analyst.
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