The 4/20 setup points to a thematic market where energy, materials, and selective hard-asset exposure are trying to regain leadership on renewed Middle East stress, while software, semiconductors, and broader growth beta are vulnerable to a near-term pause after an exceptional three-week run.
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The 4/17 setup points to a thematic market where software, cybersecurity, semiconductors, and selective AI-linked growth remain in control, while healthcare, transports, and parts of the commodity complex are lagging as the rally continues to favor secular growth over traditional defensives.
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